Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-14 0.083449 0.097957 0.114168 0.133615 0.156306 0.181941 0.213100
2025-12-21 0.061370 0.079833 0.102592 0.132679 0.171388 0.219501 0.283852
2025-12-28 0.050276 0.070857 0.098244 0.137285 0.191459 0.263939 0.368286
2026-01-04 0.043001 0.064770 0.095631 0.142452 0.211598 0.309883 0.460191
2026-01-11 0.037208 0.059379 0.092584 0.145758 0.228635 0.352748 0.552694
2026-01-18 0.032114 0.053980 0.088383 0.146207 0.240776 0.389150 0.639520
2026-01-25 0.027064 0.047721 0.081728 0.141487 0.243635 0.410882 0.705322
2026-02-01 0.022743 0.041931 0.074883 0.135232 0.242709 0.425773 0.760965
2026-02-08 0.019763 0.037985 0.070534 0.132484 0.247102 0.449624 0.834190
2026-02-15 0.017147 0.034285 0.066059 0.128781 0.249083 0.469134 0.901575
2026-02-22 0.015564 0.032295 0.064419 0.130033 0.260201 0.506123 1.005143
2026-03-01 0.013960 0.030017 0.061901 0.129195 0.267078 0.535769 1.097953
2026-03-08 0.012151 0.027163 0.058083 0.125714 0.269245 0.558502 1.184180
2026-03-15 0.010841 0.025181 0.055795 0.125147 0.277488 0.594768 1.303748
2026-03-22 0.010115 0.024364 0.055845 0.129572 0.296905 0.656444 1.484976
2026-03-29 0.009497 0.023692 0.056102 0.134472 0.318007 0.724323 1.688665
2026-04-05 0.008817 0.022759 0.055624 0.137600 0.335505 0.786488 1.887808
2026-04-12 0.008043 0.021464 0.054104 0.138026 0.346724 0.835897 2.064113
2026-04-19 0.007084 0.019540 0.050785 0.133565 0.345548 0.856434 2.174793
2026-04-26 0.006173 0.017590 0.047110 0.127655 0.339914 0.865576 2.258866
2026-05-03 0.005535 0.016271 0.044849 0.125058 0.342328 0.894598 2.396397
2026-05-10 0.004932 0.014949 0.042388 0.121559 0.341870 0.916327 2.518072
2026-05-17 0.004584 0.014308 0.041676 0.122742 0.354167 0.972351 2.737391